E-Book Overview
Fundamentally, statistics is concerned with managing data and making inferences and forecasts in the face of uncertainty. It should not be surprising, therefore, that statistical methods have a key role to play in the atmospheric sciences. It is the uncertainty in atmospheric behavior that continues to move research forward and drive innovations in atmospheric modeling and prediction.This revised and expanded text explains the latest statistical methods that are being used to describe, analyze, test and forecast atmospheric data. It features numerous worked examples, illustrations, equations, and exercises with separate solutions. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Second Edition will help advanced students and professionals understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, and make sense of the scientific literature in meteorology, climatology, and related disciplines.* Presents and explains techniques used in atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing, and forecasting* Chapters feature numerous worked examples and exercises* Model Output Statistic (MOS) includes an introduction to the Kalman filter, an approach that tolerates frequent model changes* Detailed section on forecast verification, including statistical inference, diagrams, and other methods
E-Book Content
Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences Second Edition This is Volume 91 in the INTERNATIONAL GEOPHYSICS SERIES A series of monographs and textbooks Edited by RENATA DMOWSKA, DENNIS HARTMANN, and H. THOMAS ROSSBY A complete list of books in this series appears at the end of this volume. STATISTICAL METHODS IN THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Second Edition D.S. Wilks Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Cornell University AMSTERDAM • BOSTON • HEIDELBERG • LONDON NEW YORK • OXFORD • PARIS • SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO • SI