International Journal of Applied Engineering Research ISSN 0973-4562 Volume 10, Number 17 (2015) pp 37783-37791 © Research India Publications. http://www.ripublication.com
Uncertainty Cyclicity and Projectionness Evgeny A. Kuzmin Research Fellow (Econ.), Chair of Corporate Economics, Ural State University of Economics, Str. Vos'mogo Marta, 62, Ekaterinburg, 620144, Russian Federation
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Abstract The paper's research focus is a methodological issue of a relationship between the uncertainty and risks, their coevolutionary influence on each other. To discuss this, we in details describe the “projectionness” as an available specific property of the economic mechanism. It manifests itself in variability of the uncertainty apperception force that presents a power of its transformation into the risk. In the author's model of the cycle, we have presented the uncertainty dynamics, where a multi-level vector of the spiral motion complements a traditional linear sequence in a turnover of various types of the uncertainty. An aprioristic connection between the entropy and risks allows us to make a reasonable conclusion in the paper that the preventive management task is selective regarding both the risks themselves, and the uncertainty. Keywords: Uncertainty, Sustainability, Projectionness, Cyclicity, Uncertainty vector, Risk tetraplet, Vartational uncertainty.
Introduction A risk as an a priori result of the available uncertainty is an inherent attribute of an activity. The exponentially more and more complicated social and economic interaction has caused a steady increase in significance of risks and the uncertainty, emphasizing a specific role of processes and mechanisms to control them. It may seem that continuous management efforts protect a business system or an economic agent, making them relatively much stable, secure and sustainable in their operation. Nevertheless, we strongly believe that it is not the case. Control efforts are only necessary when an influence itself may bring a result, when resources spent on managemen