International treaties requiring binding commitments on the part of the member states and appropriate compliance verification by an international authority constitute a primary assurance against risks posed by the spread of sensitive technologies that can be used to produce weapons of mass destruction or risks posed by climate changes due to global human activities. This book presents in an interdisciplinary manner experts' analyses and views of existing verification systems: It gives guidelines and advice for the improvement of those systems as well as for new challenges in the field.
Verifying Treaty Compliance Rudolf Avenhaus Nicholas Kyriakopoulos Michel Richard Gotthard Stein (Editors) Verifying Treaty Compliance Limiting Weapons of Mass Destruction and Monitoring Kyoto Protocol Provisions 12 Professor Dr. Rudolf Avenhaus Universitåt der Bundeswehr Mçnchen 85577 Neubiberg Germany
[email protected] Professor Dr. Nicholas Kyriakopoulos The George Washington University Washington, DC 20052 USA
[email protected] Dr. Michel Richard Commissariat l'Energie Atomique Direction des Applications Militaires Direction Mati res Surveillance, Environnement Centre d'IÃle de France Bruy res, le Ch tel, 91 680 France
[email protected] Dr. Gotthard Stein Forschungszentrum Jçlich Programmgruppe Systemforschung und Technologische Entwicklung (STE) 52425 Jçlich Germany
[email protected] fz-juelich.de ISBN-10 3-540-33853-5 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York ISBN-13 978-3-540-33853-6 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York Cataloging-in-Publication Data Library of Congress Control Number: 2006925525 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer-Verlag. Violations are liable for prosecution under the German Copyright Law. Springer is a part of Springer Science+Business Media springeronline.com ° Springer Berlin ´ Heidelberg 2006 Printed in Germany The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Hardcover-Design: Erich Kirchner, Heidelberg SPIN 11745808 64/3153-5 4 3 2 1 0 ± Printed on acid-free paper Preface Verifying the compliance of states with treaties may sound dry and dreary. However, when it is about respect for pledges that states have given not to acquire lethal weapons or not to emit more than limited quantities of greenhouse gases the voltage in the circuit may be quite high. The experiences I had at the United Nations of verification and inspection before the Iraq war (2003) and during sixteen years as the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency were anything but dreary. I lived some of the problems and possibilities, which are so well described and analyzed by the writers of this most