Structuring An Energy Technology Revolution

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America is addicted to fossil fuels, and the environmental and geopolitical costs are mounting. A federal program—on the scale of the Manhattan Project or the Apollo Program—to stimulate innovation in energy policy seems essential. In Structuring an Energy Technology Revolution, Charles Weiss and William Bonvillian make the case for just such a program. Their proposal backs measures to stimulate private investment in new technology, including a cap-and-trade system or carbon tax, but augments these with a revamped energy innovation system. It would encourage a broad range of innovations that would give policymakers a variety of technological options over the long implementation period and at the huge scale required. Using new organizational features, the program would go beyond traditional research and development efforts to promote prototyping, demonstration, and deployment of technological innovations faster than could be accomplished by market forces alone. Weiss and Bonvillian propose a new integrated policy framework for advancing energy technology and outline a four-step approach for encouraging energy innovations: assessment of how new technology will be launched, focusing on obstacles that may be encountered in the marketplace; development of technology-neutral policies and incentives, putting new technology pathways into practice to bridge the traditional ''valley of death'' between research and late-stage development; identification of gaps in the existing system of institutional support for energy innovation; and the establishment of private and public interventions to fill these gaps. This approach aims for a level playing field so that technologies can compete with one another on their merits. Strong leadership and public support will be needed to resist the pressure of entrenched interests against putting new technology pathways into practice. This book will help start the process.

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0UN_YR` DRV`` N[Q DVYYVNZ / /\[cVYYVN[ Structuring an Energy Technology Revolution Structuring an Energy Technology Revolution Structuring an Energy Technology Revolution Charles Weiss and William B. Bonvillian The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England © 2009 Massachusetts Institute of Technology All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher. For information about special quantity discounts, please e-mail [email protected] This book was set in Sabon by SNP Best-set Typesetter Ltd., Hong Kong. Printed and bound in the United States of America. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Weiss, Charles. Structuring an energy technology revolution / Charles Weiss and William B. Bonvillian. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-262-01294-2 (hardcover : alk. paper) 1. Renewable energy sources—Research—Government policy— United States. 2. Energy policy—United States. 3. Federal aid to research—United States. I. Bonvillian, William. II. Title. TJ807.9.U6W45 2009 333.790973—dc23 2008043059 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Contents Preface ix 1 Introduction 1 Demand-Side Measures by Themselves Will Be Insufficient 7 2 An Integrated Innovation Policy Model for Energy Technology 13 Three Theories of Innovation 16 Integrated Innovation in Energy Technology 28 The Four-Step Analytic Framework 34 3 Promoting Development and Adoption of New Energy Technology 37 The Multiple-Strand Problem in Technology Policy 37 The Economic Justification for Public Intervention 39 Defining Terms 42 St