E-Book Overview
This book addresses the development of advanced methods for the prediction, the estimation of occurrence probabilities and the risk related to extreme hydrological events. It also discusses the reduction of the vulnerability of social, economic, and engineering systems to extreme hydrologic events and the decrease of their effects on such systems.
E-Book Content
Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security NATO Science Series A Series presenting the results of scientific meetings supported under the NATO Science Programme. The Series is published by IOS Press, Amsterdam, and Springer in conjunction with the NATO Public Diplomacy Division Sub-Series I. Life and Behavioural Sciences II. Mathematics, Physics and Chemistry III. Computer and Systems Science IV. Earth and Environmental Sciences IOS Press Springer IOS Press Springer The NATO Science Series continues the series of books published formerly as the NATO ASI Series. The NATO Science Programme offers support for collaboration in civil science between scientists of countries of the Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council. The types of scientific meeting generally supported are “Advanced Study Institutes” and “Advanced Research Workshops”, and the NATO Science Series collects together the results of these meetings. The meetings are co-organized bij scientists from NATO countries and scientists from NATO’s Partner countries – countries of the CIS and Central and Eastern Europe. Advanced Study Institutes are high-level tutorial courses offering in-depth study of latest advances in a field. Advanced Research Workshops are expert meetings aimed at critical assessment of a field, and identification of directions for future action. As a consequence of the restructuring of the NATO Science Programme in 1999, the NATO Science Series was re-organised to the four sub-series noted above. Please consult the following web sites for information on previous volumes published in the Series. http://www.nato.int/science http://www.springer.com http://www.iospress.nl Series IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences – Vol. 78 Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security edited by O.F. Vasiliev Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia P.H.A.J.M.van Gelder Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands E.J. Plate University of Karlsruhe, Germany and M.V. Bolgov Institute for Water and Environmental Problems, Moscow, Russia Published in cooperation with NATO Public Diplomacy Division Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security Novosibirsk, Russia 11--15 July 2005 A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. ISBN-10 ISBN-13 ISBN-10 ISBN-13 ISBN-10 ISBN-13 1-4020-5740-7 (PB) 978-1-4020-5740-3 (PB) 1-4020-5739-3 (HB) 978-1-4020-5739-7 (HB) 1-4020-5741-5 (e-book) 978-1-4020-5741-0 (e-book) Published by Springer, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, The Netherlands. www.springer.com Printed on acid-free paper All Rights Reserved © 2007 Springer No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Siberian Branch of RAS TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface.......................................................................................................... xi INTRODUCTION Thoughts on the Economics of Floodplain Development in the U.S. D.P. L