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Leading Questions
Michigan Studies in International Political Economy SERIES EDITORS:
Edward Mansfield and Lisa Martin
Michael J. Gilligan
Empowering Exporters: Reciprocity, Delegation, and Collective Action in American Trade Policy Barry Eichengreen and Jeffry Frieden, Editors
Forging an Integrated Europe Thomas H. Oatley
Monetary Politics: Exchange Rate Cooperation in the European Union Robert Pahre
Leading Questions: How Hegemony Affects the International Political Economy
Leading Questions How Hegemony Affects the International Political Economy
Robert Pahre
Ann Arbor THE liNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN
PREss
Copyright © by the University of Michigan 1999 All rights reserved Published in the United States of America by The University of Michigan Press Manufactured in the United States of America @ Printed on acid-free paper 2002
2001
2000
1999
432
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, or otherwise, without the written permission of the publisher.
A ClP catalog record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in -Publication Data Pahre, Robert. Leading questions: how hegemony affects the international political economy I Robert Pahre. p. cm. - (Michigan studies in international political economy) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-472-10970-7 (acid-free paper) 1. Economic history 1990- 2. International economic relations. I. Title. II. Series. HC59.15 .P33 1998 337-dc21 98-40162
elP ISBN13 978-0-472-10970-8 (cloth) ISBN13 978-0-472-02301-1 (electronic)
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Contents
List of Figures
ix
List of Tables
xi
Preface
xiii
Part 1. Introduction Chapter 1. Leadership and Hegemony
3
Part 2. Hegemony and Collective Goods Chapter 2. A Collective-Goods Model of International Interdependence
23
Chapter 3. Stackelberg Leadership and Public Goods
39
Chapter 4. Predatory Hegemony: The 1920s
51
Chapter 5. Security Concerns and Foreign Economic Policy
73
Chapter 6. The Rise of Free Trade in Britain, 1815-1853
91
Part 3. Hegemony and Cooperation Chapter 7. Bargaining and Cooperation
123
Chapter 8. Hegemony and Commercial Negotiations, 1815-1913
149
Chapter 9. Multilateral Cooperation
177
Chapter 10. From Malevolence to Multilateralism, 1945-1967
189
Part 4. Conclusions Chapter 11. The Future of International Leadership
223
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Contents
Appendixes Appendix A. A Political Support Model of Trade
237
Appendix B. Data Sources
245
References
247
Index
269
Figures
1. Hegemonic Decline: U.S. Share of Great-Power GNP
2. Tariffs in Nineteenth-Century Britain 3. British Trade Volumes 4. British Openness and Tariffs, 1850-1913 5. Trade Treaties in Effect, 1815-1913: Britain, France, and Italy 6. Trade Treaties in Effect, 1815-1913: Austria, Britain, and Germany 7. British Economic Cooperation with Western Europe, 1815-1913
67 100 100 155 159 159 161
Tables
1. Imports as a Function of Foreign and Home Resources 2. Imports as a Function of Foreign and Home Resources, with Germany 3. GNP Ratios and u.s. Openness 4. Hegemony and Global Trade: Tests of the Conventional Theory 5. Hegemonic Decline? 6. The Military-Openness Trade-off 7. Foreign Reactions to British Liberalization: Changes in Legislated Tariffs 8. British Openness 9. Alliance Leadership